Opening Night 2009-10: Knicks at Heat, 7:30pm

So tonight it begins, the start of the season for the "pre-2010" New York Knicks, if we're to take the most popular media characterizations of the Knicks to heart. 

All this discussion about 2010 has gotten a bit irritating. Personally, I am *really* looking forward to what Coach D'Antoni can do this season with at least a stable collection of players and a little more size... expiring contracts, weird lineups,  and lack of guard depth be damned. I guess that makes me an optimist

Some fuss has been made about Gallinari's poor shooting in the exhibition season and his absence from the starting lineup. I take the positive side of things (there I go being optimistic again) and believe that he is still rounding into game shape, and Gallo should get plenty of playing time (and opportunities to make an impact) regardless of when he enters the game. The starting lineup will be Duhon, Lee, Chandler, Jeffries and Harrington, but the real excitement should come when Gallo, Nate, Toney Douglas, and even Darko (!) come off the bench to provide some different looks on offense and defense.

Tonight's game against the Heat will be difficult but winnable, given the Heat (like the Knicks) didn't do much to improve themselves and have an eye out for 2010 as well. However, they have Dwayne Wade, who averaged 42 points against the Knicks in 3 games last season, with the most memorable performance being his 46 point outburst last February to lead them back from a 15 pt fourth quarter deficit. The Heat also have young players in Beasley, Cook and Chalmers that will undoubtedly have improved after a year of experience, as well as a slimmed down Quentin Richardson.

It's hard to take much from recent history against the Heat apart from Wade's supernova brilliance, given that last year's Knick opening night victory at the Garden came with Jamal Crawford and Zach Randolph still on the team, and the final loss to the Heat came in the last week of the season, when the Knicks were playing out the string. The Heat were a middling team offensively last season (20th in offensive efficiency, and particularly poor at getting to the FT line despite having Wade). They ranked surprisingly highly defensively (11th in defensive efficiency), owing mainly to their ability to create turnovers (Wade and Chalmers were 2nd and 3rd in the league in steals). However, unless Beasley has gotten a lot more physical and O'Neal has rediscovered the fountain of youth, the Heat don't have an imposing frontline and the Knicks should be able to get scoring opportunities inside.

My heart tells me the Knicks can and should win this with their depth if they can push the pace, but it's more likely that Wade should again make the difference in a close win at home. A win would be very nice though, as the schedule maker has given the Knicks a tough first couple of weeks of the season. If things play out on a worst case scenario (team struggles to score on the road, can't get it done against better teams like the Hornets, Sixers and Jazz at home), it could be a 2-5 or 1-6 start. But woops, let 's not start getting pessimistic. Let's go Knicks!



 
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