Progress May Help Team Pass the Next Test

The team is still fragile enough that even the recent good wins feel somewhat fluky. And losses in one or both of the next two games could send the team back into the negative spiral. Lineups remain a work in progress, injuries (however minor) to Gallinari and Curry keep the lineups fluid, and now that Nate Robinson has officially fallen into D'Antoni's doghouse, the media has an open wound to pick at.

Somehow, the Knicks are managing to look a little better with each game (excepting the Magic, who dealt the Knicks the expected beatings), and the arid shooting and bad body language are starting to go away. Today's game against the freshly victorious Nets and tomorrow evening's game against the wounded Trail Blazers are both winnable, and provide a good test for the Knicks -- can they win the games they're supposed to win (Nets at home), and can they take advantage of a good team's misfortune (the Blazers' mounting series of injuries, including the heartbreaking loss of Oden) to steal one from an otherwise more talented team? 

If the Knicks manage to win these two games, suddenly a race for the 8th seed no longer seems laughable, given the unrest at the bottom of the East with so many teams underachieving. But most of us have learned that it's best for our sanity to take things game by game. The Nets the other night against Charlotte looked like a very different team, and a much more energized Courtney Lee and a (still rusty but improving) Devin Harris are likely to cause more problems for a still unpredictable Knick backcourt.

Some notes:

*  The mini-revival can be traced to the 16th game of the season, a close loss to the Nuggets, and has continued with wins over the Suns and Hawks, all very good teams. The Knicks did well with points in the paint with 54, 50 and 60 points inside respectively (their average in the first 15 games was 38.8 points inside). In those 3 games, 3 point shooting was also improved: 38 of 87, or 43.6 percent.  (average in first 15 games: 30.7%.) It's fair to say that the ability of the Knicks to get inside (through some wrinkles in the pick and roll game and other offensive tweaks) opened up the outside game, and better three point shooting in turn has created more opportunities for penetration.

*  The shooting of individual players still seems to fluctuate considerably from game to game, but I've said it before and I'll keep saying it: Al Harrington shooting better makes the team better, no matter how much his ball-dominant, pass-challenged ways infuriate fans. In the infamous 1-9 start, Al shot an abymsal 17.8% from beyond the arc in ten games, with only one game where he made more than one 3 pointer. In the most recent five games, he's shot 10 for 24 on three pointers, a much healthier 41.7 percent. 

*  The Nets and the Blazers represent a different kind of challenge from the Knicks' recent opponents in that -- outside of the Magic -- only the Nuggets were in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency (14th). The Nets and Blazers are 12th and 9th in the league in that area, though the Blazers' defense will suffer from the loss of Oden. It will be interesting to see if the Knicks can continue to execute and impose their pace in what could be slower, uglier games. 
 
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