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Bucks 100 Knicks 95: Still Slogging

The Knicks cleared the air on their internal issues, then went into Milwaukee for one of those 3pm afternoon starts in late March that's usually death for quality play. For one team, it was nearly death after only 12 minutes - the Knicks looked like they were keeping an eye on all the NCAA tournament basketball games and marking off their brackets while the energized Bucks were running and gunning and playing real basketball, and before you knew it the score was 16-4 Bucks, then 26-7, culminating in a 32-9 quarter.

It was simultaneously embarrassing and typical of past Bucks beatdowns of the Knicks, and a team with New York's offensive talent should never score just 9 points in a quarter. ("THIRTY-TWO - NINE! OMG, WTF" ) But watching it, I felt weirdly serene. 

Here is the thing about  D'Antoni teams dating back to Phoenix -- extreme lows on offense are typically followed by extreme highs. The last time I recall this incompetent a start on offense was against the Kings in November, when the Knicks shot 5 for 23 and had five turnovers against Sacramento to trail 27-14. The Knicks had lost six straight to fall to 3-8 to start the season before the Sacramento game, and starting like that against the *Kings* wasn't exactly a good sign. The Knicks followed that putrid start against the Kings with a 40 point second quarter (and 59 point second half) and went on to win. 

There was no such happy ending in Milwaukee yesterday, but the Knicks managed a 32 point second quarter and 31 point third quarter to get back in the game and put themselves in a position to win. They never should have started that poorly, but keep in mind that the Bucks are the 3rd best defense in the league.  The Knicks scored 33 against the Bucks in the first quarter of Carmelo's home opener at MSG right after the trade back on February 23rd; since then, the Bucks had allowed only two 30+ point quarters in the following 48 quarters of play over an 11 game period (to the Bulls and Suns). Going back even further: through the first quarter yesterday, the Bucks had allowed four 30 point quarters in the last 99 spanning 25 games.  

So there's your silver lining. The Knicks have 99 problems but offense ain't one, nine point quarter be damned. (Holding on to leads and late game execution, that could use a little work)

But this is why you keep hearing the team and coaching staff talk about defense endlessly, no matter how ridiculous it sounds after some games, and how daunting the challenges are with their personnel -- there may still be issues with offensive chemistry and keeping everyone happy and moving the ball and streaky shooting, but the Knicks can be slumming and scuffling and still put up points without a second thought. Finding a way to keep other teams from putting up crooked numbers (at the very least, the ones they should beat) can make the difference between close painful losses against the likes of the Pacers, Pistons and Bulls, and comfortable wins.

After the polar extremes of scoring and futility in the first three quarters -- which were fitting in a game against the Bucks, one of the most painful teams to watch in the league on offense -- the game turned into a slogfest in the fourth quarter. The key segment of the game came at the 5:46 mark of the fourth quarter, when Carmelo made a jumper to cut the Buck lead to 84-81. After a couple of empty possessions on both sides, there was a significant moment of chippiness between Anthony and Bogut that resulted in double technicals. The officials subsequently decided to take a strong stand on any contact, and made the wrong decision more often than not -- both sides were victimized in the process and the choppy gait of the game became positively clubfooted.

Specifically - after the double Ts, Delfino was bumped by Anthony after coming off a screen and was awarded foul shots on a dubious decision to consider the foul in the act of shooting, followed by an Anthony offensive foul where the refs felt he jumped into Delfino (had the call been against Delfino, Melo had the opportunity for a three point play). Billups in turn got a layup blocked, then drew a foul on another drive and got FTs, then fouled out on a loose ball after a missed Melo jumper

The four minute period folllowing the Knicks cutting the lead to 84-81 saw the momentum shift to the Bucks and ended with a backbreaking Delfino three point jumper to give the Bucks a 91-84 lead. (It was not a grand run: the Bucks outscored the Knicks 7-3). The Knicks didn't do badly on defense for most of the fourth, and the most significant plays that beat them were legitimately tough shots (the Delfino three pointer, a Jennings jumper with 26 seconds left to seal it). But they couldn't score or catch a break when the game was there to be taken. and despite 3 three pointers in the final minute, they ended up with another tough loss.

I had expected that the result of this four game in five day stretch would be a split, with the first two being wins and the games against the Bucks and Celtics being losses, but now it looks like the home win against the Grizzlies may be the only win. The loss to the Pistons on Friday is the one that really hurt -- this Bucks loss doesn't strike me as unexpected. The Knicks are going to have to find a way to get a win at some point, though -- it would take a massive losing streak to fall out of the playoff race, but an additional sense of urgency will have to kick in at some point to salvage some confidence and some results for the effort they're putting into establishing a team identity on both ends of the floor.

Game notes:

*  All the focus was on Carmelo, and his 23 points on 14 shots looks pretty good in a 95 point game. His best contributions came in the second and third quarter when the team was digging itself out of its hole, with the highlight being a steal of a crosscourt pass and a coast to coast layup. He still didn't feel very integrated in the offense - some of this was the Buck defense keeping the Knicks on their heels, some of it was his teammates still figuring out how to find him. The "Mike D'Antoni' system that Amare talked up so much the other day will produce situations where Melo gets less shots on some nights, but Amare with twice as many shots (28, including 11 in the 4th quarter) isn't a very good balance, especially when Amare is as inefficient as he was yesterday.

*  Chauncey Billups cut his turnovers dramatically and got to the FT line more, but he and Amare probably contributed the most to the wretched first quarter in terms of shaky shot selection. Billups also had a hard time staying with Jennings early on. He recovered well and was a big part of the comeback with 20 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but he committed too many fouls and ended up fouling out. Toney Douglas had another of his brutal road shooting lines (3-13 FGs), though he had a 9 assist game, with 5 of the assists coming in the fourth quarter.

*  The Shelden Williams experiment was short-lived, and I have no problem with that...but if you really look at that awful first quarter, it's hard to say that Shelden was the biggest part of it. The real issue is how poorly the whole team came out. Unfortunately, Jeffries didn't do that much better, and ended up playing only 8 minutes and got 3 fouls, an assist, a turnover, and zero rebounds. D'Antoni spent longer than usual answering pointed questions in the postgame, and the bluntest statement he made was that the hole in the middle is going to be an issue that the team will never really address satisfactorily -- it's up to the coaches to find creative ways around it, but there's no magic solution to the lack of size the rest of the season.

*  Lack of size means continued issues with rebounding and fouling - the Knicks were outrebounded 50-39 and they gave the Bucks 37 free throws (Delfino had 8 FTs after only 7 in his previous 7 games, Mbah a Moute had 13 FTs). The saving grace for the Knicks was their abiliity to force turnovers while keeping their own in check -- they got 19 points off 15 Buck turnovers. These rebounding and fouling issues are so troublesome because they've made the difference in some of the losses to bad teams -- giving up offensive rebounds and hustle points in close games have made the difference in the last two losses (or in college coaching parlance, "50-50 balls").

*  The Knick offense had its highlights against a tough defense, as I noted earlier, but the Bucks deserve a lot of credit for keeping the Knicks out of their favored plays in the halfcourt: this was the first game I can ever remember where only 15 percent of their offense involved spot up jumpers (the season average is 22 percent, according to Synergy Sports). The biggest percentage of plays were isolations and the ballhandler on the pick and roll taking the shot; they got only four points off post-ups and the pick and roll man (their average is ten for a 100 play game). How the Knicks ended up with 22 assists in a game where so much was taken from them is a mystery.


Tonight's game against the Celtics will be a good test of how motivated a tired, troubled and talented team can be against a quality opponent. The Celtics have been going through a slight rough stretch of their own the last week, but they remain a very difficult matchup, and they're the Celtics. It would be just like the Knicks to play their best game of this stretch tonight, and I would welcome it.



Pistons 99 Knicks 95: More Inconsistency, More Drama

Let's say this about Friday nights with the Knicks: I am truly impressed with the sheer variety of difficult losses this team is delivering. You wonder how many ways an excruciating loss can happen, and it doesn't matter whether there are no superstars, one, or two, the Friday Night Knicks keep delivering the surprises. (This time around, blowing an 11 point lead in the fourth quarter after delivering their best come from behind scoring run of the season in the third). One of these Fridays, who knows, they may provide the ultimate shock and deliver a win.

That's it for the levity, since I've never been a big believer in curses. (I do wish they had picked another day besides Friday to have these kinds of losses). This loss came down to the stars looking quite mortal down the stretch of a back to back -- Carmelo is understandably bearing the brunt of the heat with his worst game since a loss to the Hornets as a Nugget, but Billups with 8 turnovers and Amare with 20 points on 16 shots and 5 turnovers of his own (and a really big miss with 1:59 left in the game) were similarly culpable for their inability to carry the Knicks in the closing minutes.

Chauncey once again just doesn't look quite right -- many of his turnovers are self-inflicted, and on those he resembles a wind-up toy whose spring simply stops working and ends up doing a faceplant on the ground. Since he's often the player furthest from the basket when he leads the offense, his turnovers lead to automatic transition opportunities where he can't keep up. Amare, meanwhile, after looking rejuvenated with fresh springs after the trade thanks to the attention devoted to the two new additions, is again starting to look more earthbound and more prone to getting stripped or blocked when he attacks the rim. He abused Wallace in the first meeting against the Pistons in November, but Wallace handled him pretty well for most of last night's game when they were matched up.

Now for the man fans and media are directing their ire against. I generally don't comment on the extracurricular drama that the media consistently seeks to turn into back page headlines, but in the case of Carmelo not speaking to reporters, I've never thought it's a terrible thing to blow off the media once in a while in the case of a difficult loss or especially poor performance. Yes, I respect the players that do the stand-up thing and fall on their sword in front of the press hordes, but at some point, i just look forward to the player redeeming themselves the next time around. What I see on the court speaks much louder to me than what's said to media members who prod and bait and look for any chance they can for a player to slip up and speak out of line so that they have a story to run with.

(I'll qualify here that there are a few thoughtful reporters that ask questions that are meant to probe without injecting spurious drama, such as Howard Beck of the NY Times)

With all this in mind, there *is* a process of adjustment for the newly acquired Knick stars, not just on the court but also in managing relationships with the media in New York.  Like it or not, Carmelo does need to have some understanding of that. If it's true, as Beck indicated, that last night was the second time Melo failed to speak to the press in a week, it's the sort of behavior that plays into the hands of the Vesceys and Lawrences of the tabloid media, giving them more ammunition for their silly narratives about character and team performance, and creates unnecessary distractions for the team. I've been amazed at how gracefully Amare has managed the media and taken on a leadership role with the team this season, no matter what his occasional issues are on the court. I hope he, Chauncey and the Knick coaches can impress on Carmelo that he has off-court as well as on-court responsibilities that go with being one of the faces of the franchise.

Now, to the on-court stuff with Carmelo. It was a bad game offensively, a combination of not getting shots in his comfort zones, and being extremely off even when he had good looking opportunities. It was not a case of volume shooting gone awry (the typical accusation), but a more peculiar case of ineffective invisibility. There are going to be nights where he gets less than his teammates, but his inactivity in stretches last night reminded me of Lebron and Wade's early games together taking turns being passive -- Melo spent significant amounts of time standing passively in the left corner during the third quarter while playing with the second unit, seemingly content with letting Douglas and Shawne Williams play their two man game that kept the Knicks ahead after their run.

Carmelo had only 7 shots through three quarters -- when he tried to assert his will in the fourth quarter, nothing went right and shots didn't look close to going in. He didn't get calls either, but when you project the kind of body language Melo did, the refs don't tend to give you the benefit of the doubt.

Defensively, he fouled too much and occasionally lost a shooter, but he also had some of his best defensive moments as a Knick during the amazing 17-0 Knick run during a 4 minute 45 second stretch of the third quarter. He blocked Austin Daye on a jumper and provided terrific help in two different defensive possessions to continue the run. I felt he did enough positive in this area to not throw the book at him for the way this game turned out. It was an especially bad game by his standards, but a team loss.

No need to further dwell on a bad loss that typifies the mood swings of the adjustment process -- even the fall to the seventh seed is a talking point but not a drastic change in fortunes. What I would take from this loss is 1) the need for Billups to keep getting healthier, or failing that, for Toney Douglas to spend more time running the offense and maybe even Anthony Carter getting some minutes again, and 2) the need to continually refine how Carmelo is involved in the offense. Some of that is on Carmelo himself, some of it is on his teammates.

I'll end this recap with three shot charts, which introduce some ideas I may revisit in a future post. First, here's Melo's shot chart from his 50 point game this season, a highlight of his final days as a Denver Nugget -- note that though he was hot from almost every area of the floor, his opportunities are heavily weighted toward jumpers on the right side and drives in the lane:



Carmelo Anthony Shot Chart, 50 point game vs Houston, 2/7/11



Here's Carmelo's shot chart for his 15 point first quarter two nights ago against Memphis, one of his best and most efficient spells of scoring since the trade. In Mike D'Antoni's offense, more of his offense comes from receiving passes off the pick and roll or through cuts, but the activity still tends to be right-center weighted:



Carmelo Anthony Shot Chart, 15 point first quarter vs Memphis, 3/17/11



And here's Carmelo's shot chart for the ENTIRE GAME against the Pistons. (Sorry this one is reversed, because it was a road game). i was struck by how much he was lingering on the left side and taking bad looking long jumpers. In his defense, the Pistons were doing a pretty good job of pushing him out or denying him in the post and focusing their defense on him (which is why Douglas had such good opportunities isolated against Stuckey or Bynum)...but the alternative shouldn't be to drift to less efficient zones.



Carmelo Anthony Shot Chart, 6 point game vs the Pistons, 3/18/11


Final note about the game: the Pistons that ended up killing the Knicks in the fourth quarter (Will Bynum,Charlie Villanueva, Chris Wilcox)  didn't even make MSG's scouting report. Yikes.

Next up is Milwaukee, which might be the worst opponent to face after this kind of loss, since their defense will test the ability of the team to stick to the principles of ball movement and may tempt Anthony or Stoudemire to force things when the Bucks clamp down. The Bucks have been an odd, unpredictable team all season, but they'll be playing at home, and they're the rare team that has two defenders that can guard Amare and Melo one on one. I'm honestly not sure what to expect from this one -- other than it's safe to say that both teams are similarly maddening to their fans.

Knicks 120 Grizzlies 99: Radiant Offense, (Slightly) More Focused Defense


AP Photo

Very, very nice recovery for the Knicks on a night when a lot of basketball attention was devoted to the college world and March Madness. A terrifically energetic and rambunctious crowd, those green St. Patrick's Day uniforms, Toney Douglas' green day-glo shoes and NBA JAM-ish shooting...and yes, even some noticeable effort on defense generated a solid win over a Grizzlies team that fought for a half, but crumbled under the shooting onslaught.

This was a fairly slow-paced game (only 89 possessions), which makes the efficient offense seem even more ridiculous (135 points per 100 possessions) and places the improved effort and sub-100 point total for the Grizzlies in context (still a lot of work to be done if your defensive efficiency is 111 points per 100).

As for that defense: the effort continues to improve, even if the execution still leaves a bit to be desired. You could really see the focus move up a few notches beyond the previous two games against Indiana. In fact, the offense and rebounding suffered a little in the first quarter as a result of concentrating so much on properly rotating and defending the pick and roll, and trying to maintain effort and focus on off the ball movement as well as what was happening with the ball. As it was against the Pacers, rebounds and hustle plays helped give the Grizzlies a 29 point first quarter -- no testament to good defense there.

But if we can at least acknowledge small steps -- incrementally small -- all the talk about commitment to defense wasn't empty. Chauncey Billups made up for still limited lateral movement by selectively applying defensive pressure on Mike Conley and playing passing lanes to get a couple of steals and a few deflections. Toney Douglas' defensive pressure is always strong, and Amare actually made more of an effort to stay in some sort of proper defensive position when Conley would come around screens (he didn't get to the man popping off the screen, though, which I'll address in the bullets). Jeffries roamed well and all things considered, defended Randolph capably given the mismatch.

The Grizzlies are also (without Rudy Gay anyway) a better matchup for the Knicks than the Pacers -- Darren Collison's midrange game (12th among point guards in shooting from 10-15 feet) and explosion off high screens exploits the weaknesses in the Knicks' loose defense a bit more effectively than Conley's game (though Conley still had 16 points and 6 assists last night). The Knicks mostly resorted to doubling or keying on Randolph and giving some free rein to Marc Gasol, but Gasol was ineffective again, and Darrell Arthur ended up with the more effective minutes with his ability to make midrange jumpers.

One of the most applause-worthy possessions, if small steps are to be celebrated, came on the Grizzlies possession with 29 seconds left in the first half: the Grizz ran a high screen with Conley and Gasol. Douglas went over the screen, and Amare was actually in proper defensive position to meet Conley but account for Gasol rolling to the basket as well. Best of all, Carmelo ran over from his man at the wing (Battier) to swipe at Conley's dribble, then rotated back immediately to bother Battier's corner three pointer when Conley chose to pass to the shooter after nothing materialized in the lane. Too often, the pick and roll defense is left to just the point guard and big man, with little help from the other positions because of the fear of leaving shooters and (frankly) lack of effort at times. This was a very good defensive possession that didn't rely on a bail out block or a gamble to produce a stop. More of this please.

Overall though, as you might expect from a team with elite offensive talent at three positions but mostly average to below average defenders, the effort on defense improves when the offense is rolling. And the offense most definitely rolled with 20 three pointers, and very good ball movement (25 assists) and spacing. Those Toney Douglas three pointers are a thing of joy to watch when they're rifling in at the Garden. At this time last year, I attended two games where he shot 17 for 32, and the way his shots ripple the net when he's hot are something else.

Game notes:

*  Darrell Arthur was brought up in the post game by a reporter as someone who exposed the Knicks' lingering defensive issues. Mike D'Antoni responded by saying "well, he shot 5 for 11", the implication being that his shooting numbers weren't outrageous and that those sort of long two point jumpers are inevitably going to be given up the way they defend (focusing on defending 3 pointers and protecting the rim). That's a reasonable point, but if you break down Arthur's line, he shot 5 for 10 on long jumpers that came from the pick and roll, and all five were assisted. And if you watched the game, these jumpers were *wide* open -- Amare didn't even run out to contest.

Arthur is 33 percent on long jumpers this year according to Hoopdata, so it's possible that the Knick strategy was to keep Amare closer to Randolph and Gasol and take their chances with Arthur. However, given the fact that Tyler Hansborough torched the Knicks for 10-17 shooting on those same pick and pop opportunities the previous two games, it was curious to see history repeating itself against the Grizzlies. D'Antoni did acknowledge that if this continued to be an issue, he might look at bringing help toward the screener popping out for the jumper, but some of this is on Amare to get out on the shooter and then recover if necessary.

*  The 20 for 36 line on three pointers got all the attention, but 16 for 20 on shots at the rim was also very impressive -- Amare and Carmelo were 10 for 12 close to the basket. Carmelo had an especially breathtaking piece of footwork with 4 minutes left in the third: on the right block, he posted, faced up, ended up spreadeagled at one point against Tony Allen and seemingly about to travel, and somehow kept his pivot foot and went up and under for the layup.

*  Frequently quoted stat in stories diagnosing the Knick woes: Carmelo and Amare together on the floor since the trade: +1. Last night, they were +11 when on the floor together. It's a process.

*  Landry Fields still looks like the Knick most affected by all the adjustment issues, as important as he is. He did his usual work making opportunistic three pointers (2-4) but he missed 5 of 6 shots inside of 10 feet, usually because he was forcing an awkward floater when attempting to take advantage of temporary space created by the Grizzlies' focus on Amare and Melo. He and Toney Douglas have been working with the coaching staff to improve the way they take advantage of those seams in the defense, but the challenge will be improving the shot selection while minimizing the turnovers.

*  Back to that sticky topic of defense: maybe the biggest sign that it has a ways to go was the continued fouling last night (20 fouls, 30 FTs for Memphis). This will never really go away because the Knicks are typically overmatched in the middle, but avoiding silly, lazy fouls (like a Carmelo elbow to the back of Battier cutting in the lane in the fourth quarter, or a couple of Amare's reaching fouls) would make a significant difference. Also, the Knicks allowed 22 assists on the Grizzlies' 35 FGs -- Memphis is one of the bottom five teams in the league in assist rate.

*  One of the most fun things about watching college basketball at this time of year is watching many excellent announcers and broadcasting teams (Bill Raftery, Gus Johnson, Mike Gminski, etc) bringing the stories of unknown teams and interesting matchups to life, with their own distinct catchphrases, enthusiasm and analysis. At the risk of sounding overly homer-ish,  I was glad to see that Breen and Clyde were in fine form themselves for a mid-March game (until it got to massive blowout territory) -- Breen called out Amare and Carmelo when their defensive shortcomings were on display, the analysis of officials' calls and play on the court was excellent, and the digressions and humor were enjoyable and not distracting.

Weirdest digression: Breen did the usual spoken MSG promo for Boomer and Carton during a lull in the action, and Clyde went into a Boomer Esiason impersonation that came out of nowhere and was shocking enough that Breen was temporarily silent, then said awkwardly (I'm paraphrasing) "Clyde, I don't know if I've ever hear you do impressions". Clyde then revealed that he thinks those guys are hilarious. My jaw dropped too.

*  Toney Douglas' postgame interview was delightful. Catch it if you haven't already done so. Toney's serious facade breaks a little bit to betray some giddiness. It makes me want to know if those rumors of him doing Ke$ha impersonations are true.


Tonight it will be the Pistons as the Knicks are in stage two of their four games in five nights brutal stretch. The Knicks haven't had too many problems with the Pistons this year, but they'll be much smaller this time and won't have the Moz to soak up rebounds the way he did the last time they met. Should be interesting to see how the defensive effort and commitment hold up -- on a back to back against a bad team in a (likely) empty arena,I have my doubts. Since the Pistons are a pretty bad defensive team themselves, we'll probably see a shootout.


Pacers 119 Knicks 117: Better Effort, Still Not Enough

Losing a home and home series to a team below you in the standings is definitely not good. But though there was a lot to be discouraged with in this latest Knick loss to the Pacers, there was a fair amount to be encouraged with as well. It was a much better effort that, frankly, had it been exerted on Sunday, would have resulted in at least a split.

Part of the issue in analyzing games like this is trying to get past the overheated narratives that come from making such a high profile trade and dealing with the inevitable and difficult adjustments, especially when one of the key components (Billups) is injured and has essentially two different adjustment periods in the three weeks since the trade. This sounds like excuse-making, but watching an essentially new roster of players try to play together with constantly shifting lineups and only one real practice, no matter how much talent is on it (and we're talking a top heavy and imbalanced set of pieces) is a process with many highs and many pratfalls.

The Knicks will be a better team with a healthy Billups, and though the team learned some valuable lessons during his injury absence with Toney Douglas getting more minutes, they will need Chauncey's experience to get close to the promise that some have forecasted for this Knick group. Unfortunately, Billups hasn't made the Knicks a better team the last two games. His recovery from injury has clearly affected his timing and quickness, and though his experience and guile still get him shots and fouls, he's been mostly a spot up shooter since coming back. He hasn't run the offense as authoritatively as he's capable of doing with his jumper not falling.

Last night was especially tough to watch. Assistant coach Kenny Atkinson made the comment during the MSG halftime interview (diplomatically) that the rhythm on offense was still a bit off, and that the Knicks weren't hitting the roll man as much as they should (translation: settling for too many jumpers off the initial pick). The Knicks were outscored by 4 with Billups in the game in the first half, and by 16 with Billups in the second half. Billups missed all four of this three pointers last night, making him 0-11 in the last two games from distance.

The fourth quarter for Chauncey was more like Mr. Big Turnover than Mr. Big Shot -- three huge turnovers and a badly missed three in the final six minutes of the game (even the assist to Toney Douglas in the closing minute for a huge 3 pointer was this close to being a turnover, as it was made while stumbling). I'll say this, though -- I wasn't very high on Chauncey as a Nugget to start the season, as he started out shooting poorly in the first six weeks and wasn't getting to the FT line as much. He recovered and put together a stellar period of play starting in mid-December, and it continued through his first four games for the Knicks before the injury. Assuming he's recovering the way he should, he ought to be able to get past this rough period.

Game notes:

*  The defense looked even worse on the surface last night, as the Knicks allowed the Pacers even higher offensive efficiency in a faster paced game (117 points per 100 possessions in a 102 possession game) relative to Sunday (115 pts/100 in a 92 possession game). The effort on defense and attempts to communicate and provide help in the halfcourt were notably better, though...what tripped up the team were the offensive rebounds, loose balls, and points given up due to turnovers. The Knicks stayed in the game in the first half by turning the Pacers over 12 times in the first half while committing only 5 of their own -- but in the second half, the Knicks committed 8 turnovers to the Pacers' 5. Even though the Pacers still ended the game with more giveaways, they ended up getting more points off turnovers (21) than the Knicks (17).

The Knick defensive activity was solid but a little too jumpy and focused on the Pacers' first or second option -- as a result, good ball movement would beat the defense, and the Knicks would be out of position when they did close down the primary options and produce a miss or loose ball. The low point of the game that symbolized how they lost the hustle plays: at 4:27 of the third quarter, Collison made an entry pass to Hibbert, who was set to handoff back to Collison running toward the baseline. Douglas ran behind Hibbert and jostled the ball loose, at which point it rolled into the lane at the feet of Carmelo, Amare and Billups, who all watched as Hansborough scooped it up and got a layup and foul to make it 81-68 Pacers.

*  Another area of the defense that still needs a lot of work -- pick and roll defense. (Broken record, I know) Some credit has to be given to the Pacers' Darren Collison, who has dramatically improved in his ability to execute the pick and roll since a rough first few months. He made life miserable for Toney Douglas for most of the third and fourth quarters, using the slightest opening to blow by TD for jumpers, find Hansborough and other teammates for jumpers, or take advantage of extra attention to him by making entry passes to Hibbert for post moves against overmatched defenders with no help nearby.

I'm starting to wonder whether Turiaf should get more fourth quarter time against teams that run high screen rolls frequently with guards that can make the mid-range jumper. Amare doesn't show and recover in such a way to make things even moderately difficult for the ballhandler, and when the Knicks get caught in a switch, Amare ends up playing an odd nether-zone that gives the ballhandler too much room to shoot. (Billups made this point after the game). Shawne Williams is a more active and engaged defender on the perimeter, but he does best with higher traps -- when the ballhandler and screener are closer to the lane, he's not physical enough or blessed with enough lateral movement to make things difficult for the offense either.

It's not just Toney Douglas and whoever's guarding the screener, of course -- help needs to come from the weak side when warranted and rotations need to be sharp when the ball moves around. But right now, the Knicks are aware of the big picture but missing on too many small details that would give their defense some bite. Jeffries does help, but sometimes you need someone more physical to provide a bump or shove to the screener or roll man to disrupt timing even slightly -- on a couple of Collison screen rolls, Jared was impeded from helping on Collison dropping back for the jumper with nothing more than a simple push from Hibbert. Turiaf is better in this regard, though he has more issues on the perimeter than Jeffries.

There's a lot of noise being made in some camps about "too much switching", but the act of switching isn't bad on its own terms if everyone understands the overall priniciples and the defenders communicate. To my eye, there's effort but not enough communication, and a lot of small lapses. Making everyone bull through screens as if they were tackling sleds may earn the players more manhood points, but it doesn't make for a better defense if the same issues with communication and attention to detail exist.

*  Tyler Hansborough again destroyed the Knicks and got another career high. He is a 41 percent shooter for the season from 16-23 feet, which is the league average and places him 25th among NBA power forwards. (Amare shoots 44 percent). In the last two games, Hansborough has shot 9 for 16 on long jumpers, or 56 percent...during the losing streak that preceded the last two games, he shot 13 for 40 (32.5%) on the same jumpers. Fluke? Bad Knick defense? Whatever the case, he was a definite Knick killer, and I was very impressed with his effort.

*  Despite all the defensive issues, poor offensive stretches, and bad breaks, it was kind of amazing to see how quickly the Knicks came back after being outplayed for 34 minutes. A ten point outburst in 90 seconds to end the third quarter, followed by an insane level of offensive efficiency in the fourth quarter, almost got the win for the Knicks anyway. Lost in the overall picture was how the game was there for the taking when the Knicks actually got stops in a 3 minute period from the 6 minute mark to the 3 minute mark of the 4th: they outscored the Pacers 12-5 to take a 110-106 lead. Two Billups turnovers, a badly conceived Amare drive, and giving up scores on seven of the last eight possessions pretty much killed the game in the final 3 minutes. The Granger game winner was virtually a formality.

*  Toney Douglas deserves a lot of credit for his second half performance - the offense actually ran smoother in the fourth quarter when he was directing pick and rolls or shooting behind screens, and he was a disruptive force on defense (at least against the second unit). I'm not sure there was a single bad possession when he was in charge for the first 5 minutes of the fourth, even when no points were produced -- every shot produced was a quality shot. That doesn't mean he should be starting, but he's earned the extra time playing with Billups for all of the fourth quarter.

*  The best moments for the Knick offense coming when Landry Fields was scoring in the first half and TD in the second half show just how important it is for the offense to have an option that can spread out the floor and give more room to the superstars to take over. On Sunday, the Pacer defense could mostly pack it in; last night, they had to work much harder, especially when Douglas got hot.

*  Ten men got playing time for the Knicks last night, another sign that D'Antoni is still searching for a reliable bench option for scoring to spread out the defense and provide some defensive energy. Neither Bill Walker nor Roger Mason is blowing the door down with their production since the trade, nor are they locking down as defenders. As soon as Chauncey gets his shot back, I'm guessing the minutes for those two will diminish drastically.

*  Despite the less than prime bench depth the Knicks have at present, it will never stop the fans seeking a unicorn. Anthony Randolph was the previous fan favorite, now it may be Derrick Brown. It would be fun to see Brown get some minutes toward the end of the season when a playoff spot seems more certain, but I'm not seeing any sudden miracles or solutions to the Knicks' current struggles with some spot minutes from him.

Next up, the Grizzlies, and I'm not sure what to expect. Better results at home, or more of the same dire struggles? It's fortunate that the team has a lot of wiggle room in its run for the playoffs, and the difference between a 7th or 5th seed isn't that dramatic in terms of having to play a difficult opponent. The tabloids will keeping dishing the tales of schadenfreude and poor trades and the specter of old ghosts. But I'll just keep looking for signs of improvement in a team that's going to get better and realize more of its potential eventually.


Pacers 106 Knicks 93: Cosmic Slop

Another sloppy, peculiar effort by the Knicks last night. The two losses against the Cavaliers were objectively worse, but getting run off their own court by a team without its best player, and coming off a six game losing streak, ranks right down there. The Knicks are now 6-5 since the trade, and four of the five losses count as the terrible kind (Cavs twice, Mavericks last Thursday, Pacers last night). Arguably, five of the six wins were impressive (only the win against Milwaukee at home might be considered an expected win) -- which means this team is swinging wildly between extremes as it tries to gel.

One area of commonality between the Cavs and Pacers which has given the Knicks fits is the presence of jumpy, mobile, unorthodox and unpredictable power forwards in JJ Hickson and Tyler Hansborough. The Knicks' conundrum on defense is that Amare is nominally a power forward but more typically defends centers, while Jeffries is nominally a center but tends to roam on defense between inside players and perimeter players. Carmelo is sometimes matched up against power forwards but is really a small forward with a power game.

The Knicks -- using a combination of Jeffries and Turiaf, or some schemes involving double teams and swarming the ball selectively -- can defend certain types of scoring power forwards with a more set offensive game reliant on isolations or pick and pop jumpers. But oddly, Hickson and Hansborough with the way they throw their body around in the lane and attack from the wing like small forwards from time to time (even if that also means they have some ugly possessions), have confounded the Knicks. Jeffries isn't strong enough, while Amare and Turiaf tend to pick up cheap fouls and then back off. (Wilson Chandler's underrated versatility on defense is missed in these situations). The flimsy attempts of the Knicks to maintain defensive discipline tend to fall part when confronted with these types of players as well.

Hansborough has been playing well for the Pacers lately under Frank Vogel (after pointed remarks about the way he was used by Jim O'Brien), and he had a throwback to his UNC days (29 points, 8 rebounds) in the way he killed the Knicks with his weird looking jumpers and his shuffling yet relentless drives toward the basket, constantly finding holes in the horrific Knick defense. His effort was the highlight of an otherwise balanced attack by the Pacers, who went 10 deep and got contributions from everyone.

The Knicks were out of sync on offense in Billups' first game back after his thigh was mashed to a pulp by Dwight Howard's knee on a screen, and he was in less than optimal form. Considering he only played four games as a Knick before getting hurt, he struggled to get in rhythm with his teammates, and worked mainly to get the ball early to Carmelo or take a lot of long spot up jumpers. He had some nice highlights early (notably a three quarters court sidearm pass to Melo on a fastbreak in the first quarter to give the Knicks their only lead), but he mostly seemed to labor.

Toney Douglas, unfortunately, compounded things off the bench with his worst shooting game since the trade. Many of his shots were shots he normally makes, but still, 1-8 from three point range to combine with Billups' 0-7 meant the two point guards combined to miss 14 of 15 threes.

Carmelo and Amare had decent scoring lines on the surface but you'd be hard pressed to find emptier 25 and 28 point efforts -- Melo's points came mostly in the first quarter, Amare's in the fourth quarter, but their points didn't stem the Pacer tide at all given how ineffective the Knick defense was. D'Antoni's post game comments about the team operating in quicksand were perfect -- the harder they tried to bear down, the more they seemed to make the wrong rotation or do something inexplicable (like Carmelo's stumbling foul on a Dahntay Jones three point attempt in the third quarter). The way the Knick defense seemed to get out of sorts with nothing more than a simple high screen -- over and over again -- resulting in Pacers with the ball in the 15 foot area and tons of space in front of them, or a single Knick defender trying to guard two shooters outside the 3 point line, was excruciating to watch.

The offense never really had good moments in this game, unlike all the other losses, even the ugliest ones, where there was usually a good stretch of shooting. Some of this was good Pacer defense, some of it was the Knicks being a little unlucky, but a fair amount of it was too much one on one play from the stars, including Billups. Only 4 assists and 4 turnovers for Billups, 2 assists for Amare, and 0 assists from Carmelo (after he averaged nearly 6 assists the previous four games) -- this type of non-ball movement plays right into the hands of the opposition who can load up on the scorers.

Summarizing the strange awfulness of last night's effort was the Knicks getting 15 offensive rebounds to the Pacers' 5 (and outrebounding the Pacers 44 to 33), yet being outscored in the paint 44-28. In other words, the Knicks made it harder on themselves in the paint than they did on the Pacers, despite more chances.

The Knicks also fouled too much, and had difficulty adjusting to the whistles -- perhaps it was all the college basketball played at the Garden in the last week, because the mix of touch fouls on the perimeter combined with incredibly physical play inside with no foul calls was more reminiscent of a Big Ten or Big East tournament semifinal than a Sunday NBA game in March.

Carmelo spoke in the post game press conference through oversized sunglasses, sounding distinctly peeved and promising a different result for the second game against the Pacers on Tuesday. The last time he sounded such an alert, after a loss to the Cavs, didn't produce good results in the rematch. Maybe the Knicks will be better this time around, but the key will be the ability to maintain focus and show more signs of team play on both ends, instead of trusting that the two stars going off and a few threes from other teammates will be enough to overwhelm the opposition.

Note: A wonderful dissection of the Knick defensive gaffes in last night's game from the indispensable NBA Playbook can be seen here.


Mavs 127 Knicks 109: Energy Shortage

Going to be a very short recap this time, because the Knicks really didn't show any energy for the first half of this game, against a very angry, motivated, and superior Mavericks team. The game got off to a bad start when Amare suffered a shoulder stinger two minutes in the game - to his credit, he toughed it out and came back in after a minute, but he was ineffective and clearly affected. He missed 7 of his first 8 shots, forcing attempts inside against tough Dallas interior defense with no lift, and Carmelo wasn't much better against Shawn Marion's defense. The team as a whole struggled to get anything going -- even though they were actually ahead at one point at 14-12 midway through the first quarter, it never felt like they had an advantage and the pace of the game was very heavily dictated by the Mavs.

The only saving grace for the Knicks was free throws - in a bizarre inversion of the previous game against Memphis, with sparkling offense but only 4 free throws the entire game, the Knicks got 13 free throws in the first quarter but only 4 FGs. In the meantime, they could not stop the Mavs at all -- on the perimeter, inside, in transition --  and credit must especially be given to the Mavs bench; Tyson Chandler got two early fouls, which would normally have been a positive, but Brendan Haywood picked up the slack against a hobbled Amare. The bench depth of the Mavs was overwhelming: JJ Barea, Jason Terry, even more marginal bench types like Brian Cardinal and Corey Brewer were getting open jumpers and drives against the slovenly defense of the Knicks.

That first half score of 72-51 says it all in terms of just how bad the Knick defense was-- even when the Mavs missed, they got the long rebounds (17 offensive boards) and loose balls against the Knicks' very tired legs. Dallas kept piling on until it got to 88-62, at which point the Knicks put together their best run to get the lead down to 13. Amare, Fields and Douglas fought past their early struggles and were especially good in this stretch, and there was more Melo/Amare pick and roll action than I recall ever seeing since the trade -- the one sliver lining I took from this game (along with the team making 35 of 37 free throws). The lead got down as low as 11 in the fourth quarter, but the Mavs put together one final run to put the game out of reach.

A few final notes:

- The bench with the exception of Shawne Williams was dreadful and contributed to the game getting out of reach quickly. it's possible Anthony Carter isn't used to getting significant minutes in 4 out of 5 games any more at his age, since he had his second consecutive bad game, and Turiaf looked even worse (12 minutes, 1 blocked shot, 3 fouls, -17), in a game that could have used his defense.

- Jared Jeffries had a miraculous plus/minus of +1 considering the nature of the game, but he was left hung out to dry by his teammates too often on defense (every time he would show on the ballhandler in a high screen situation and direct a teammate to help, the ballhandler just ended up getting a clean path to the basket or a kick to a wide open shooter). Jared also handled the ball a bit too much and paid for it, but a lot of that was the Dallas pressure and his teammates being out of sorts.

- Pick and rolls were over a quarter of the plays the team ran, by far the highest percentage of plays since the trade. Granted, much of it occurred in a blowout, but the team getting more effective with the pick and roll instead of running isolations so heavily is a positive sign for the team learning to work together more smoothly on offense.

Dallas has also had a very packed schedule and so this recap isn't meant to take credit away from their effort, but losing to New Orleans the way they did the other night was the worst thing for the Knicks. At this point, the Knicks can look forward to some rest, and hope that the coaching staff's optimism about Billups' return for Sunday's game against the Pacers really is warranted. Douglas (and his teammates) have performed admirably in his absence, but the team could use his leadership and his ability to direct the offense as the grueling schedule continues to take its toll.


Knicks 110 Grizzlies 108: Backing Into An Exciting Finish


Photo: Getty Images


For three quarters, this was as close as the Mike D'Antoni Knicks had gotten to tasting the ball-movement glory and sublime, effortless offense of the vintage Phoenix Suns teams -- in sensibility if not exact execution. There was no Steve Nash, or even Steve Nash-lite to power the offense, there were few fastbreak points or pick and rolls, and there were a few too many turnovers in the first half. But there was incredible sharing of the ball from talented players not known to be natural playmakers, there was prodigious shooting from the superstars and efficient, opportunistic scoring from the supporting cast, and there was just enough scrapping on defense to keep Memphis at bay.

Seventy-nine points from four starters after *three* quarters. The team's offense humming at a close to 140 points per 100 possession pace.12 of 22 on three pointers, which combined with the Utah game meant 25 of 48 three-point shooting over the last seven quarters. Twenty-six assists after three quarters, after a 31 assist game the other night. And all this was coming against one of the hottest teams in the league, a top 10 NBA defense in a difficult road venue.  My favorite comment on this spectacular display of offense came from Rob Peterson on twitter:



Then the fourth quarter arrived with the Knicks up 14 and it all got a lot uglier, and in weird ways. The quarter started with four minutes of nothing -- missed jumpers, turnovers, ugly drives by players who shouldn't have been making them (Anthony Carter, take a bow), three quick fouls to put the Knicks on the verge of entering the penalty with just under ten minutes left in the game, and some bad luck.  To the Grizzlies' credit, they forced the Knicks into these misses and errors by playing much tighter defense and disrupting the rhythm of the Knick offense.

The Grizz got the margin down to six, but then came an excellent stretch from 7:30 to 3:30 where the Knicks just kept running a set and variations which started with Carmelo coming up to the top of the key to slip screen Douglas, dive to the lane, and then Amare coming over from the opposite corner to receive a pass and either shoot or engage in a two man game with Melo. The peak of their execution of this set came at 6:30 when Amare received the pass, kept rolling to the basket, then passed behind him to Melo trailing behind, who spun one way and then other to get a layup to build the lead back to 10 at 100-90. 

(Clyde Frazier on this play: "That time gyration in the paint by Stoudemire and then Anthony, swirling and curling to the hoop"). 

A variation at 3:59 was just as tasty, where Shawne Williams and Landry Fields, who had been parked on the weak side with little to do for minutes beyond setting a screen or cutting once in a while, got shifted to the top of the key and left wing respectively, while TD, Amare and Melo all moved to the right side of the court. Fields moved up to meet a pass from Williams, and then cut backdoor to make it 106-96.

But from 3:30 to the final seconds, the Knicks reverted to the worst execution of the evening, resulting in three turnovers, five missed shots, and at least two inexplicable fouls on Grizzlies baskets that produced 3 point plays. The Grizz started anticipating the plays that the Knicks ran so successfully throughout the game, and in particular started pressuring the Amare catch at the left elbow -- they got one steal and forced another heavily contested shot by Amare (one of the worst forced shots he's taken all season).  In general, the Knick activity on offense started to devolve into more one on play as the defense got tighter, an understandable reaction given the three primary scorers are instinctively shoot-first types, but no less maddening for the way it played into the hands of the opponent.

Even then, the game looked ready to be clinched when Carmelo stole the ball off Darrell Arthur with 38 seconds left after Arthur rebounded a Toney Douglas miss, but instead of running the clock all the way down, he backed into the lane and forced a tough close in jumper with ten seconds still on the shot clock. Then Melo compounded the error by fouling Zach Randolph on a basket to give him an and-1 that tied the game at 108.

D'Antoni avoided a timeout and instead had Melo and Amare attempt to run a pick and roll on the left wing; the Grizz overloaded on Amare, so Carmelo did what he does best, a jab step to create a slight opening and then a jumper over Tony Allen that looked good from the time he released it, leaving only 0.5 seconds for the Grizz to run a lob to the basket that got intercepted by Jeffries.

Game notes:

*  The reaction of Knick fans on the web to the win seemed a tad overexuberant given the way the Knicks frittered away such a large lead, but then I remembered that for the last two years, it's been Al Harrington, David Lee and Chris Duhon taking those last second shots. Seeing Anthony take the last shot so confidently, even against solid defense, definitely re-sets expectations in an entirely new, far more positive direction. Carmelo will make and also miss his share of attempted game winners in the future (he seems to practice them with every 2 for 1 three pointer he attempts near the end of quarters), but having such a strong scorer as a late game option is a feeling fans will no doubt come to enjoy without a second thought. 

*  This was only the seventh time an NBA team won while attempting only four three throws (all by Anthony). Much of this had to do with how easily the Knicks were getting jumpers and making them with astounding efficiency. Additionally, Toney Douglas' limitations as a distributor and his own weaknesses in the area of drawing fouls meant that the Knicks weren't getting much either inside or at the foul line -- the Grizzlies had 52 points in the paint vs just 28 for the Knicks, and an absurd 33 FTs. These huge disparities kept the Grizz in the game throughout.

*  The Grizzlies were playing the passing lanes with unusual ferocity in the first half, and the Knicks with their mantra to move the ball aggressively played right into the hands of the Memphis defense, quite literally as it turned out. The Grizz ended up with 28 points off 17 Knick turnovers, which is a high for a Knick opponent this season. The flip side is that when the Knicks kept their heads, they were able to use the Grizz' aggressiveness against them and find open shooters time and time again.

*  Before the game, I expected Marc Gasol to team with Z Bo to torment the Knicks in the interior, but he was a relative non-factor and ended up playing only 23 minutes, most likely because he was having difficulty chasing the shooters. Instead, Darrell Arthur picked up the slack and was a serious pest off the bench with 20 points -- along with Tony Allen, Mike Conley, and ZBo, they led the charge back from the big deficits in the second half.

*  One of the issues with a team with many new players still learning to get comfortable in its new "must move the ball" identity is in understanding the tendencies of teammates enough to know when moving the ball is *not* a good idea, as well as when it is. Toney Douglas a couple of times over passed rather than going for a better shot on his own, and Amare and Melo rifled passes into Jeffries, who then proceeded to get blocked or fumble the ball -- the instinct was correct, because Jeffries finds himself open frequently, but that doesn't mean it's a good idea to pass it to him unless he can then make the hockey assist to another teammate. D'Antoni in the fourth quarter ended up making offense-defense substitutions frequently between Jeffries and Shawne Williams in the final seconds, which have been a rarity for him this year.

*  Shawne Williams, Jared Jeffries and Ronny Turiaf all took turns defending Z Bo and Gasol with the expected mixed results; Jeffries did the best job on team defense with this steals and drawn charges, but Shawne really impressed me with the way he battled ZBo on the block and fought on the boards, even getting a couple of blocked shots in the process. 

So now it's on to Dallas for the second game of a back to back against an even better team, and one that's bound to be quite angry after blowing a close game to the Hornets (without Chris Paul) just after the Knicks got their win in Memphis. I'm not sure how much to expect with both teams on the end of a back to back, but I am interested to see how this group guards Dirk and how they battle overall, after giving in to the Mavs in pretty tame and lackluster fashion at MSG with the pre-trade group.

Jared Jeffries: How Much Utility Can A No-Stats Defender Provide?


AP Image

Jared Jeffries is back with the Knicks, and already making a difference with his defense, though his individual statistics don't show much of anything so far. Jeffries is more or less reprising the role(s) he had during his first 18 months with Mike D'Antoni prior to the infamous cap-space clearing trade with the Rockets last season. He's been a defensive quarterback guarding multiple positions, elite help defender and communicator, director of the matchup zone whenever it's run, calling out plays and reminding teammates of assignments, and he's made hustle plays on both ends of the floor (tips, deflections, offensive rebounds, taking charges, etc).

Jeffries is averaging 25 minutes for New York in four games, a remarkable turnaround from the first four months of the season with the Rockets, where he played just 18 games, averaged under 8 minutes per game, and went on the inactive list when Aaron Brooks returned from injury. By all accounts, Jeffries was widely liked by his teammates and coaches in Houston, but the Rockets already had a defensive specialist in Chuck Hayes, and their priority this season was giving time to younger players like Jordan Hill and Patrick Patterson. Mike D'Antoni likes what he's seen enough so far to make Jeffries a starter for the rest of the season. He'll be starting nominally at center, though he's capable of guarding every position, and his assignments will vary depending on matchups.

Jeffries has come back to a very different Knick team  -- instead of papering over the defense of cap space all-stars like Harrington, Lee, Duhon, and Robinson, he's now rubbing shoulders with two high usage, high wattage superstars In Amare and Carmelo, who have their own defensive foibles. As a low usage role player who doesn't need the ball on offense, he fits well, though his early invisibility and shades of incompetence on offense are already the subject of thoughtful reflection (a must-read essay by Danny Chau) and derision.

Making Sense of Jeffries' Extreme Un-Involvement In the Offense

I made note of a quirk in a recent game recap amplifying the relative roles of Jeffries and the two Knick stars: Jeffries had a microscopic usage rate of 3 percent of offensive possessions in his first game as a starter against Cleveland, while Amare and Carmelo had usage rates of 43 and 27 percent respectively (according to basketball-reference.com). The more typical range of usage for role players playing 20 or more minutes is 10 to 15 percent of possessions -- Landry Fields and Ronny Turiaf (when healthy) fit in this category, being the fourth or fifth option for shots within the offense.  Amazingly, in Jeffries' next two games as a starter, he managed to replicate this feat of using only 3 to 4 percent of possessions while the stars continued to soak up 70 plus percent.

It's unlikely Jeffries will remain this invisible with significant minutes -- his usage rate in recent years has been in the 10 to 14 percent range, and defenses need to be kept honest. Then again, he hasn't exactly improved his offensive game, and even the presence of superstars is unlikely to give him the ability to score with any facility. Furthermore, D'Antoni typically has limited patience with role players that gum up the offense with tentativeness or ineptitude -- he's gone back and forth with players like Turiaf and Mozgov all season (though their defensive lapses and propensity to foul were as much the reason for their up and down minutes).

D'Antoni values Jeffries' intangible contributions so much though, that he's willing to live with the risk/reward tradeoffs, and (granted in a small sample size) we're seeing them bear fruit: in the last 3 games, he has plus/minus lines of +7, +11 and +27. He's been a notable part of a Knick defense that has shown improvement since the trade deadine (per Basketball Prospectus). Even in the disastrous home loss to Cleveland, the difference between mildly porous defense and horrific cape-waving was apparent when Jeffries was out of the game with foul trouble -- he covered for Fields' issues in defending quick wings, he covered for Amare's tendency to drift on switches, and his height and wingspan enabled deflections and helped with closing out on shooters.

The question remains: can a player this limited on offense warrant so many minutes on a good team, a playoff team? I took a look at all the players in the NBA who averaged 20 or more minutes of playing time, played at least 50 games in a season, and had a usage rate of 10 percent or lower of a team's possessions in the last 10 seasons. The results were highly interesting: 

AgeTeamSeasonUsage
     
Joel Anthony28MIA2010-114.9
Nick Collison30OKC2010-119.7
Thabo Sefolosha26OKC2010-119
Kurt Thomas38CHI2010-119.9
Ben Wallace36DET2010-118
     
Ben Wallace35DET2009-1010
     
Shane Battier30HOU2008-099.9
Trenton Hassell29NJN2008-099.9
Ben Wallace34CLE2008-097.8
     
Bruce Bowen36SAS2007-089.4
Ben Wallace34CHI/CLE2007-0810
     
Jason Collins28NJN2006-077.1
Jeff Foster30IND2006-079.9
     
Jason Collins27NJN2005-069
Adonal Foyle30GSW2005-0610
Adrian Griffin31DAL2005-0610
Theo Ratliff32BOS2005-069.9
     
Theo Ratliff31POR2004-059.6
     
Trenton Hassell24MIN2003-049.5
     
Reggie Evans22SEA2002-038.9
     
Michael Curry33DET2001-029.3
Ervin Johnson34MIL2001-027.7
     
Mario Elie37PHO2000-0110
Ervin Johnson33MIL2000-016.5
Michael Smith28WAS2000-019.6

Source: Basketball-Reference.com

Several observations to make based on types of players on this list:

*  Defensive Specialists: This list is like a who's who of gritty, intangibles-rich players, with Ben Wallace as its patron saint. They are low usage players for a reason: the majority of them are extremely limited on offense. But many of them earn playing time through their impact on the defensive end.

*  Veterans: A significant number of players on this list are or were in their late 20s/30s. Presumably, they earn playing time because they're willing to accept a limited role, and their experience is valued by their teams -- Wallace, Collison, Thomas, Ratliff.  Or they have a specific skill that remains potent even as they age -- in Ratliff's case, his shot blocking. Age also explains the decline in some of these players' skills that tends to narrow their involvement on offense relative to when they were younger.

* Superstar/High-Usage Teammates: Collison and Sefolosha are the Thunder teammates of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, two of the top ten in the NBA in usage.  Hassell and Ervin Johnson were the no-shoot teammates of high usage teammates Kevin Garnett and Sam Cassell on an excellent Timberwolves team that nevertheless seemed to be playing 3 on 5 some nights. Ben Wallace played with Lebron James...and Joel Anthony plays with Lebron *and* Wade *and* Bosh (hence his leading this list in subterranean usage). The point is that the offensive flaws of these role players can be glossed over by the firepower of their teammates, though there's constant consternation among fans and writers covering the teams about how much offensive ineptitude can be tolerated.

* Unique Skills/Unique Flaws: Many NBA players who are great defenders are usually capable of contributing in other parts of the box score as well, even in limited doses, which gets them more possessions on offense. But because of age, tweener-ism (Griffin, Foyle), or just extremely bad hands (Joel Anthony, Ervin Johnson), the no-possession role players on this list typically have an area of extreme strength (wing defense, taking charges, blocking shots) along with near-fatal weaknesses relative to others at their position (turnovers, shot selection, low rebounding rates, inability to draw fouls).

* Playoff Contributors: Contrary to what some might have expected, high minutes for these kinds of players isn't a sign of a bankrupt roster (with one or two exceptions) -- a fair number of these players have contributed to good teams that have made the playoffs. As with Jeffries, their coaches believed they could employ their strengths for the good of the team while minimizing the weaknesses through judicious use of lineups and matchups. In most cases, their coaches cite that dreaded word "intangibles" to justify their minutes and impact. - not unreasonably, it should be added.

A final note about this list: the types of players on it changes only subtly if you bump the usage percentage a few points higher -- players like Andris Biedrins, Raja Bell, Steve Blake, Derek Fisher, Chris Andersen, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, etc. start to appear. Most are still defensive specialists playing with ball dominant teammates, though you start to see more perimeter players, a tiny bit more offensive ability, more players who are on losing teams, and even more flashpoints for fan angst regarding playing time (Bell, Fisher, Biedrins).

How Jeffries Compares To A Select Group of Glue Guys

Narrowing the focus to players this season and last season on the list, the most relevant comparisons are probably Joel Anthony, Nick Collison, and Ben Wallace. All play heavily on the inside but can roam around the perimeter in a pinch as part of good team defenses. Jeffries is simultaneously more versatile and more limited than they are -- though he's classified as an inside player, he gets by defending power forwards and centers through guile, positioning and active hands, and he broadens his impact by being able to guard opposing guards as well (though any reasonably quick and strong perimeter player will give him fits).

A closer look at what Anthony, Collison, and Wallace have accomplished in their most recent playoff seasons relative to their regular season numbers shows that they either maintained their minutes and production or had a slight but not dramatic dip. Wallace in 2007-08 and Collison last season averaged over 20 minutes in the playoffs, and their statistical impact in the box score remained minute apart from rebounds.  Their real contributions came in the area of situational defense.

Those skeptical of Jeffries' ability to be a Wallace or Collison will steer in the direction of Joel Anthony (the most limited player in this group), who played about 16 minutes per game in the regular season and playoffs for the Wade-led Heat the last two seasons, and kept his sub-Mendoza line levels of usage at 5 to 6 percent throughout. (This season with the Heat is a much harder read, since Spoelstra's usage of Anthony has varied with Dampier and Ilgauskas at his disposal). Anthony also has hands that compare to Jeffries in doubling as cinder blocks.

Tipping the scales on the positive side for Jeffries: like Wallace and Collison, he comes out as a dramatic positive relative to his invisible box score when it comes to plus/minus -- his team is better with him on the floor than without. On the Knicks, he was second only to Gallinari last season, and second to Chuck Hayes and Kyle Lowry while with the Rockets. Joel Anthony, in contrast, has fared terribly in most plus-minus metrics.

Wallace in his last season with Cleveland was second only to Lebron (albeit by a dramatic margin), and in 2009-10 the Pistons were 8 points better per 100 possessions with him on the floor (he has declined dramatically since). Collison is the model here, with the Thunder being 6 to 7 points better with him on the floor the last two seasons (the best on the team). Like Jeffries, he's usually in the right place on defense and is extremely good at taking charges.

Final Observations

What's been left unsaid, and has probably been screamed by some anxious Knick fans virtually as they were trying to make their way through this piece: "WE ALREADY HAVE A GLUE GUY -- HIS NAME IS RONNY TURIAF, AND HE'S BETTER". I'd agree with that assessment on the surface, and Turiaf has had some very nice lines this season without having to use possessions much at all. (For example, a home win vs Indiana where he played 28 minutes, had 10 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, and 6 blocks while only scoring 2 points and using 8 percent of possessions). Turiaf's hands and offensive skill set are not exactly the stuff of legend, but he doesn't inspire the same level of fear among fans that Jeffries does, and yes, he can make layups (most of the time).

Turiaf has had a hard time staying healthy though, and doesn't quite have the versatility or smarts as a help defender that Jeffries does. By almost any boxscore metric Turiaf comes out ahead, and he's a better choice as a physical defender, but he gets himself in trouble more with fouls, and doesn't cover for the weaknesses of his teammates as well as Jeffries has so far. Jeffries' ability to cover point guards and trap on the wings is also a skill that D'Antoni has always coveted -- it explains why Shawne Williams has gotten playing time over Ronny in the past in some matchups.

In the end, D'Antoni has a balancing act, and he'll probably rotate minutes among his role players in the best way he sees fit, meaning Turiaf and Williams (both Shawne and Shelden) will continue to get minutes in a slightly larger rotation. I would personally prefer that Jeffries doesn't get much more than 25 minutes per game, but it's impossible not to appreciate what he's done already. (Spend a game watching just him -- really). 

One sobering note: usage of possessions is ultimately a symptom, an indicator of what the player does or doesn't contribute on offense - it isn't meant to be a predictor of results.  But the only team with a very limited usage player getting minutes (Bowen) who came close to the championship were the Spurs in 2006-07 (who lost in the Western Conference finals to the Lakers in 5 games). Ben Wallace won a championship with the Pistons, but he was using close to 15 percent of possessions that year -- he wasn't quite the boxscore cipher he became in the twilight of his career. 

Championship teams like the Spurs, Celtics and Lakers are able to put a versatile lineup of players on the floor who largely don't have to be hidden or tucked away - even the Artests, Perkinses, and Bowens of the world can make a key three pointer or score inside. Thus, Jeffries will be a valuable contributor, but the evolution of the Knicks toward championship contender in the future will likely require someone more complete to help with the defense without hurting the offense.

Knicks 131 Jazz 109: Gaudy Spectacle

I used to really love watching the Jazz, especially after Deron Williams' rookie year. That Jerry Sloan offense with all the off the ball movement and cuts, with Deron orchestrating, Boozer finishing and directing some of the offense himself from the elbow and high post, Mehmet Okur with his pick and pop magic, Kirilenko, Brewer, and Matt Harpring laying down some scrappy defense and getting opportunistic baskets. Those were some fun teams.

It's still hard to believe it all just blew up a few weeks ago with the resignation of Sloan and the subsequent shocking trade of Deron Williams to the Nets, but anyone who looked closely at the team at the end of last season and the start of this season could see the edges fraying. Despite some exhilarating early season comeback wins against quality opposition like the Heat and Lakers, the team never looked quite as right as it did during its better days. Injuries, free agent losses, salary dump trades all left the foundation teetering, even as the team tried to reload with new faces like Al Jefferson, Raja Bell, and Gordon Hayward.

Coming into last night's game against the Knicks, the Jazz had been short of form on offense and defense for most of the last ten games. They've been a bad defensive team the entire season (in the bottom third of the league, as bad or worse than the Knicks), but their offense was just outside the top 10 as measured by offensive efficiency. However, in 7 of their last 10 games, they maxed out at 103 possessions per 100 (and did much worse in most other games), which is a bottom third level of production in the NBA this season.
 
It wasn't a fair fight once the game actually tipped off -- the Knicks routed the Jazz thoroughly, despite injury no-shows yet again from Billups, Walker and Turiaf. Carmelo Anthony always projects confidence in his jumper and ability to attack the rim against any defender, but after a weaker-than-average showing against the Hawks, he was blazing against Kirilenko (whose back issues made him look landlocked) and CJ Miles (who was just overpowered) -- he shot 12 for 16 for the game, including 4 for 5 on three pointers. The last time he shot this well or better was as a Nugget in November of 2009 against the Raptors (a 12 for 15, 37 point performance in a win).

Toney Douglas and Amare also started the game on fire, and with three scorers spaced well and shooting the lights out against a passive Utah defense, the Knicks blew out to a 40-24 first quarter lead, survived a second quarter that was mostly Amare carrying a subpar second unit, then buried the Jazz with a 21-8 run in the first six minutes of the third quarter to build the lead to 31 points and turn the rest of the game into extended garbage time.

The Jazz offense was almost exclusively Al Jefferson and whatever the Jazz could manufacture from offensive rebounds (a ridiculous 22 offensive boards, including 14 between Al and Derrick Favors) -- there was no perimeter game, Devin Harris/Raja Bell/CJ Miles combined to miss 23 of 28 shots, and only a 35 point fourth garbage time fourth quarter kept the final offensive numbers looking respectable for Utah.

Game notes:

*  There was a lot of post-game buzz about the juicy potential of two elite scorers finally scoring so efficiently together, and what I found most exciting was how the two (along with Douglas and Fields) seem to be settling into comfort zones on the court and patterns of movement that enable optimal scoring opportunities and place a lot of pressure on defenses. As one can see from Melo's shot chart, he continues to score from his favorite right wing and right block spots, though he was so hot that he got baskets from the left side as well:


Carmelo Anthony shot chart vs Utah, 3/7

The threat of Anthony around his favored spots on the right, with Amare setting up in his preferred spots on one of the elbows, and TD floating further out in position where he can either receive a pass for a three pointer, or receive a handoff that enables a drive past defenders worried about the other two scorers, is getting more potent. Fields further expands the opportunities with his cuts and shooting ability -- he can plant himself on the weak side ready to receive a skip pass or kick out from a driver for a spot up three, or cut and receive a pass in the lane.

*  A notable set illuminating the opportunties above, early in the game while things were still competitive, 8:50 in the 1st quarter: Amare at the top of the key with the ball, Douglas goes over to set a screen for Anthony, who fakes toward the screen, then goes inside while TD retreats behind the 3 point line. Amare passes over to TD, who fakes the three then makes the entry pass to Melo in the post,. At this point, all the Jazz's attention is toward Melo, who has the option of passing back to TD who's planted himself behind the 3 point line a few feet to the left of his previous spot. Instead, Carmelo spins toward the middle, Millsap (Amare's man) shades over to double, and Melo passes over to Amare for a wide open 17 footer.





*  Devin Harris is, on paper, a perfectly capable successor to Deron Williams in Utah, and I hope the best for him after everything he had to deal with in New Jersey. It's still disorienting to see him in a Jazz uniform, though, and he didn't help matters by being invisible against the Knicks. For sure, there's a significant adjustment for him to make playing with new teammates and a different big man and offense, but one would be hard pressed to remember when he was ever that ineffective against the Knicks as a Net, for all the Nets' struggles last season. His hyperspeed drives to the basket and attempts to draw fouls were so futile that I was sure he warped into some dimension far, far away from the arena every time he accelerated into another empty possession.

*  Third and fourth quarter garbage time was surreal -- I'm not sure Shelden Williams will ever get so much time in an NBA situation having the offense run through him, not even in practice. The entry of Rautins for notable minutes was fun and kind of cringeworthy at the same time -- poor guy seemed overcome by nerves as every move of his was greeted with over the top cheers, resulting in 3 immediate turnovers. Eventually he got a very generous call on a 3 point play (the referees may have been sympathetic) that got him going, and fans were also treated to Balkman's first 3 pointer in 2 years, Roger Mason firing more threes in his newly liberated role, and Derrick Brown flying around the court dunking.

*  Poor Al Jefferson: 36 points, 12 rebounds, generally playing hard, but a hideous minus 33 for the evening. He's had lots of experience with gaudy scoring lines in bad losses from his Minnesota days, and he probably hoped he left those days behind. Scoring at that level and having your team give up massive points while doing so is hard to pull off to the degree Al did: the closest he's come to this was back in 2008, when he scored 28 points and registered a minus 25 in a 23 point loss to the Clippers.

*  Just as Al isn't as awful/great as his line looked last night, Melo and Amare don't quite warrant praise as gods for their godly efficient scoring last night. But some of the numbers were so gaudy they're fun to bask in. Most notably, from Elias courtesy of ESPN: the Knicks with Melo/Amare on the floor together outscored the Jazz 66-35, with the two scoring 46 of the 66 points,  combining to make 16 of 19 shots.  Also per Elias, they're just the 5th pair of teammates in the last five years to each score 30 or more points before the fourth quarter  -- Carmelo has been involved in 3 of the 5 times this happened previously.

*  I had the Jazz broadcasters (Matt Harpring and Craig Bolerjack) for last night's game, who do an excellent job most of the games I have the opportunity to hear them.  Harpring was laid back and agreeable for a surprising amount of the broadcast, but as the game wore on, the annoyance registering in his voice at how easily Carmelo was scoring was growing louder. Bolerjack and the Jazz production crew further tweaked him by showing highlights of Melo scoring on him and a double technical exchange of shoves from several years ago when Harpring was on the Jazz. At the rate things were going, I fully expected Matt to rip off his broadcast attire and go clothesline Melo in the second half, but it never got to the point beyond "When I was out there, the guy I guarded knew it". Not too bad, considering Harpring's reputation for going homer gonzo on some Jazz broadcasts...really, it was no worse than Mike Breen's occasional exhortation to "deliver a hard foul" during games when the Knicks were lifelessly shuffling through one of their many losses of the last decade.

*  Bench stat stuffer: Anthony Carter, 1-7 FGs, missed all 3 three pointers, 2 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 turnovers, 3 steals, 3 fouls, 2 points. If the game hadn't been so one-sided, I might have been more annnoyed with AC's volume chucking and flailing around the court (no need to chest up Earl Watson near midcourt, AC), but on this night, it was just one more memorable bit of weirdness to soak in.

Travel day for the Knicks tomorrow as they head to Memphis to face one of the hottest teams in the NBA on Wednesday night, maybe one of their toughest matchups yet in the Grizzlies, which has the kind of size inside that will give the Knicks fits, and the toughest defender Carmelo will face yet since the trade in Tony Allen. Let's see if some of this improving synergistic offense and (subtly) improved defense can carry over onto the last Western road trip the Knicks have this season.

Knicks 92 Hawks 79: Wacky Lineups, Great Results



More injuries, more concern -- still no Billups, no Turiaf, no Bill Walker. The seventh seed and a descent toward .500 was staring the team in the face with a back to back the next night against Utah. And once again, the Knicks somehow rebounded with a messy, crazy, and most excellent win over the Hawks in Atlanta.

The game started with more weird rhythms on offense, as Amare and Carmelo strived to move the ball more rather than simply take turns on isolations, but they still weren't quite co-existing smoothly when it came to connecting to help the other one score. As a result, the ball moved to teammates when a star couldn't get his own shot, and Landry Fields was the beneficiary with 6 shots in the first 6 minutes, twice as many as any other Knick, on his way to 7 points in building a 16-7 lead. Late in the first, Melo got poked in the eye badly enough by Al Horford on a jumper for him to miss 2 free throws and generally look and operate out of sorts the rest of the game.

Carmelo was already struggling with his shot to start the game, but fortunately he was active in other areas and ended the first quarter with five assists and 3 rebounds even though he missed all his shots *and* free throws. Amare was very sharp with his jumper and inside moves, and the bench got excellent contributions from Shawne Williams, Anthony Carter and Roger Mason. I made a snarky reference to the extended minutes Carter and Mason were getting on twitter, but while they weren't exactly Pearl and Clyde, they held their own.

The real revelation beyond the opportunistic contributions from role players on offense was the defense, anchored by Jeffries, and helped significantly by Douglas' tenacious work on Hinrich and Fields on Joe Johnson (possibly Fields' best defensive job this season). Jeffries' best moments were his stints in the first quarter (where he capably guarded Horford, Smith, and Johnson on individual possessions), and in the second quarter where the Jeffries Zone made its return -- a holdover from the wasteland of last season that was worth bringing back to give this defense a different look (more on that later in the bullets). Best of all, Jeffries stayed out of foul trouble after two early fouls, an indication that he's starting to get his defensive rhythm back.

Offensively, the game was no thing of beauty, and the flip side of the improved defense was brutal offense -- after a shambolic, low scoring first half, the Knicks only scored two points in the first six minutes of the third quarter. The Knicks' defense kept the Hawks from building too large a margin, and they were helped by some of the Hawks' decisions, like Josh Smith's fondness for long jumpers, even in transition. More improbably, the entry of Anthony Carter sparked the Knicks' crucial surge ahead -- in the last 5 minutes of the 3rd quarter, AC scored 7 points on 3-3 shooting,  along with two rebounds, an assist and a steal. His presence also seemed to help Carmelo, who made two of his next 3 shots with AC at point after missing 4 of his previous 5 shots with 2 turnovers in the quarter. 

The craziness reached its peak in the fourth quarter. I've watched D'Antoni and the way he's managed lineups for over five years with the Suns and Knicks, and while people love to talk about smallball and make noise about some of he ungainly mismatches he creates, there's a logic to the units he employs that's easily discerned. Last night though, when I expected Anthony to return in the fourth quarter after his customary rest at the start, and expected Carter and Jeffries to play extended minutes to stabilize defense and the PG position (given how both failed so badly against the Cavs), D'Antoni instead rolled with an Amare-Douglas-Mason-Fields-Shawne lineup. A twist on the three guards-small forward-power forward lineup that I truly didn't expect.

After the game, the coach said he was going to bring Melo back eventually but once the lineup started producing to the tune of a 19-2 run spanning four minutes (including 3 pointers from Williams, Mason and Fields), he let them finish out the quarter. Smart move, with Melo clearly operating at half speed and another game in 24 hours. Bringing Douglas in to run the point, despite his still shaky issues with running the offense, worked fine (he hounded Hinrich most of the quarter, and managed Hinrich's defense against him alright), and Mason guarded Crawford better than AC. The offensive ball movement was excellent in getting the ball to Shawne for two of his deadly corner jumpers (and Mason for two of his own), and there was enough off the ball movement in and out of the lane to keep the defense from loading up on on Amare and gave him space to create.

It was a satisfying win, even if it doesn't settle much about what the team will look like by the end of the season. At this point, D'Antoni seems to realize that things are going to operate in a state of continual chaos relative to his preferred way of doing things as long as injuries are an issue. As a result, he'll use more players, he'll keep tweaking offense and defense, and he'll keep trying to get his stars to work together, point guard or no point guard.

Game notes:

*  A little more on the zone. D'Antoni has thrown the zone in spurts at the Hawks in the past, to nullify their athleticism inside and tempt them into jumpers with little ball movement. The zone was used on six Hawks plays in the second quarter, with all but the last play with Jeffries at the head of the zone. The results on the five with Jeffries: 1) Hinrich turnaround jumper over Douglas at the elbow 2) Joe Johnson long two point jumper over Jeffries on the right wing 3) A Joe Johnson turnover on a swing pass from Horford that was pressured by Jeffries at the high post 4) A defensive 3 second call on Landry Fields for drifting too far to the strong side and forgetting the shooter camped on the left wing behind the 3 point line 5) A forced Joe Johnson 3 pointer missed under heavy pressure. 

On the final play against the Knick zone, with Anthony at the head of the zone instead of Jeffries, the lack of communication was apparent immediately -- Jamal Crawford passed the ball to Horford at the high post, went around two screens and casually parked himself on the left corner while some activity started to build on the strong side, drawing the attention of all the Knicks who got lulled into their old habit of watching the ball. Since no one communicated about Crawford, a skip pass to him found him wide open, and Amare lunged at him and ended up gifting Jamal another of his patented four point plays.

Overall, it wasn't a sparkling debut for the zone -- three scores, a violation, a turnover, and a miss. Douglas, in particular, looked a little lost guarding an area instead of providing the usual tenacious ball pressure at halfcourt. But Jeffries excels at the head of the zone, and it's a useful tool for giving the point guards a break from getting crushed on high pick and roll screens (TD has to appreciate the respite from getting his bell rung as he typically does a couple of times a game). Expect to see more of the zone on a selective basis in the following games, particularly more limited three point shooting teams like the Bucks, Jazz and Grizzlies.

*  The Hawks, according to Synergy, typically get a bit less than half (48%) of heir opportunities on offense through running Isolations, Post-Ups, and Spot-ups. Last night, those types of plays accounted for nearly 60 percent of their offense (only 3 FGs made from the pick and roll), and the Knicks limited their productivity on Post-Up opportunities in particular, thanks to Jeffries' work on Horford. With much better rotations and communication, they were able to limit the Hawks on offense by generating turnovers on 21 percent of the Hawks' plays, considerably above their season average of 10.5 percent. 

The Hawks take (and make) a lot of long two-point jumpers -- averaging 10 of 22, with 68% of those assisted, according to Hoopdata. Last night they made 8 of 22 (Josh Smith, 1 of 6, ouch), but only 2 of the long jumpers were assisted.

*  One more wacky statistical artifact resulting from two ball dominant superstars, a point guard by committee arrangement, and low usage defensive specialists -- highly lopsided possession usage distributions. Melo had usage (percent of possessions used while on the floor) of 42.8 last night, Amare with 32.4, Jeffries with 3.9 (!). Most Knick fans won't mind that with Jared's significant limitations on offense -- one shot, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 assist, and 1 drawn charge in 27 minutes is a characteristic line. The box score shows he had only one offensive rebound, but he seemed to influence several more through deflections and tap outs, and he tied up the Hawk frontline enough to allow Amare to sneak in and steal two offensive rebounds of his own.

* Amare was exceptional on long jumpers, and while I might prefer that 12 of his 20 shots last night weren't long two pointers, shooting 6 of 12, with 5 of the 6 makes being assisted, is very good. Especially when his counterparts Horford and Smith combined to shoot 2 of 9. 

Tonight it's the Jazz, and we may see a return of one or two of the injured crew that missed the Hawks game. The Knicks haven't been able to win two in a row since the trade, and their points allowed to opponents has gone: 108, 115, 86, 116, 88, 119, 79. The team's two best defensive performances of the season (in terms of defensive efficiency) have come since the trade, but to date the defensive focus has appeared on an every other game basis. Since this is a back to back at the Garden, there's like to be another relapse to the same old defense tonight, but against the post-trade Jazz, let's hope there's enough offense to avoid another Cav-like catastrophe.

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